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The Republican party fell into a power vacuum ~ it wasn't that they became a third-party, they were instantly the second-party and the Whigs essentially evaported with a large contingent (including Lincoln) gravitating to the Republican party.

While that was happening the Democrat party immediately after Buchanan's election appears to have fractured several different ways leaving each major segment in no position to pursue a Presidential race to a successful conclusion ~ and that left the Republicans in the unenviable position of taking the Presidency in 1860 just as the Souf' seceeded.

No matter how this year's election ends up, there will be a serious power vacuum and the Democrats will probably find it difficult to even run a candidate in 2016. The Republicans will be severely weakend due to their rejection of their very own very Conservative party base.

An insurgency can take over the leadership position through the simple expedient of forming a NEW Republican National Committee (that's it's name and what it will be).

Sounds Like a Plan!

I am sure Sarah will help us lead the Charge!

My friend I love your logic, but not the name.