According to the poll, Moderates voters preferred McCaskill 63-22, yet the Very Liberal preferred her by only a 58-34 margin.
I don’t find this believable. There is no way on election day, 34% of the very liberal voters in MO vote for Akin. Either the got a weird sampling, or the Very Liberal voters were purposely distorting their response to prop up Akin until he can no longer drop out.
“There is no way on election day, 34% of the very liberal voters in MO vote for Akin”
Bingo! They are just telling the pollster they’ll vote for Akin to encourage him to stay in the race. If he’s running 40 points behind among moderates, he doesn’t stand a chance.
Yea, there’s some errors in the polling somewhere. There’s no way Democrats aren’t pulling 90% for her, and if she’s getting anywhere from 25-40% of moderates, it’s over for Akin.
Although I want to believe this poll, I think the latter explanation may be correct. I'm among those who thought he should be replaced and I still do, but I'd love to be proved wrong on this.