[HamiltonJay]

I don’t know what pollsters are doing to their numbers, but there is no way this race is remotely tight.

Obama down 15 among independents but he’s up 2 overall in this poll? Makes no sense.

[snarkytart]

Dude, you're naive or just too optimistic. You have a media who has written stories about we're in a recovery, and have covered for zerO’s HORRIBLE economic record, and a RNC convention who thinks it's best to talk in general speak about “Love” and “Respect” rather than putting this bastard on blast over his bad ideas and record. So there you have a tight race my friend.

[snarkytart]

Also, Rush just said there is an ABC poll that shows the majority of people still blame Bush for the bad economy.
Bush = Republicans

[LS]

Easy: D+6. Looks like a Romney lead to me.

[ilgipper]

I don’t know what pollsters are doing to their numbers, but there is no way this race is remotely tight.

You are correct. Our side is motivated, independents are with us significantly, Dem motivation is down, and he is tied or ahead a little. BS. Not to mention Dem registrations are down and ours are up a little. The math doesn't add up. As someone said last week in a similar discussion, it is in the sampling. They are scoring a higher turnout by Dems than GOP, and assuming Dems are voting lockstep for Obama. Neither is the case.

[Longbow1969]

Obama down 15 among independents but he’s up 2 overall in this poll? Makes no sense.

It's because most polling is turning up a population that identifies itself as more Democrat than Republican than in previous years. Even the FOX poll showed this recently, and their polling firm discussed it specifically (one of the few who took the time to do so). I think the demographic shifts have something to do with it. Also, many polls simply show less independents - and the way the race seems frozen at around 47/47 seems to demonstrate this. That's the theory anyway.