OH is not “teetering toward a loss.” Yesterday’s poll was a “tie,” but only achieved with a poll of registered voters and a 5% Dem oversample. Translation: Romney up in OH, MI, WI, IA, and FL. If this guy says CO is safe, that’s the best news I’ve heard in years. Now, if VA is safe, this election is over an it’s only a matter of how many EVs Romney gets.
Anyone know what the breakout was in 2008 in Ohio? (e.g., how many Dems votes vs. Reps). Obama won the national vote by 7.27 IIRC, but Ohio only by 4 something, meaning if the popular vote is close, one would expect Romney to win. In 2004, Bush won by 1.5% nationally, but took Ohio by more than that (2.1%). In general, the Midwest has been trending somewhat GOP. It’s hard to see losing Ohio, unless Obama wins the national popular vote.