True, but Obama hasn't polled this well since May
Last weekend had the exact same numbers, within a point, at least. It may have been 47-43, but almost identical. I don't know what that means. If his weekend model is broken, it would make sense two back to back August weekends would see the same thing. I just don't know. I tend to think this is an irregularity, but I just don't know at this stage. My general feeling is that the race is close, both are in the mid-40s, which is worse for the incumbent than the challenger...that Romney wins with a good campaign as the challenger in a crappy economy.
Here at the shore, we haven't had a weekend this nice since May! Plus kids are going back to school next week. Next to the last chance to take advantage!
I'd ignore next weekend (Labor Day), too. Even Rasmussen often stops reporting his poll results over holiday weekends. The numbers just aren't reliable.
This is going to come down to the state of the US economy, and unless you work on Wall Street, most people would say the US economy is in awful shape.