[sheikdetailfeather]

Yes.

[GOYAKLA]

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42003

Water Temperature (WTMP): 85.3 °F

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http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42099

Water Temperature (WTMP): 85.1 °

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http://cdip.ucsd.edu/?nav=historic&sub=data&stn=144&stream=p1&xyrmo=201108&xitem=product10
Historical data shows todays water temps lower than average and also lower than last years at this time. 86-91 for 08/2011

My take nowhere near Katrina. Cat. 2 slim Cat. 3!
Not a weather forecaster but stayed last night at a Holi-——

[NELSON111]

>>>Is there enough heat in the Gulf of Mexico to drive it to Katrina levels?

>>>YES

That's debatable. The TCHP is not nearly as high as it was for Katrina. It could support a Cat 3...but in order to get to Cat 5 every other atmospheric criteria would have to be perfect.

And that won't happen.

TCHP is on the order of 50-80 kj/cm3 along the path...whereas with Katrina it was 100-110+.