So, 7 years later the probabilities don't catch up? BTW, since that time we've had numerous Nor'Easters up the coast here ~ and they start with storms further Souf'. Tropical Storm Fay springs to mind BTW ~ and that was in 2008. Thing came ashore FOUR TIMES as it worked its way up Florida. Just in 2011 there were 20 tropical storms and if you look at the map, they were near misses ~ driven off by an El Nino ~ which is no longer there to drive off the storms into the Atlantic.
Awful lot of them look like they scooted right by Florida ~ in other years they scoot right into Florida ~ I posted that NWS historic track record of all the storms earlier ~ and anyone could have looked at that.