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To: jmaroneps37
“Two weeks ago Obama was + 9 now Romney is +1. What other polling firm showed a 10 point swing in two weeks?”

I think it was Baer who explained that the previous poll showing the big Obama lead was the LAST of the “registered voter” (RV) polls and the newest poll showing the Romney lead was the FIRST of the “likely voter” (LV) polls.

LV polls are much more expensive than RV polls because they require numerous additional questions of each person polled to filter out the persons who are registered but NOT likely to vote. Rasmussen is the only major poll that is always LV and has always had Barry capped in the mid-40’s (losing!). Now Fox's first LV poll confirms that.

In the final months of the campaign several of the large polls switch from doing RV polls to LV polls. The average of polls on RCP (a mash-up of RV and LV) will increasing show Romney improving as the RV polls are washed out or overwhelmed by the more accurate LV polling, IMO.

Regarding FOX anti-birther stance, Ailes is about winning, as is the GOP-e and threatened or not. Absent a new revelation of evidence that Barry was born in Kenya, the moderate swing voters needed to drag Romney over 50% cannot be educated or persuaded by the “birther” issue prior to the election on the BC forgery claim alone, given the failure in the courts and suppression and Alinski mockery in the MSM, so GOP-e is focusing on Barry's record in office.

42 posted on 08/25/2012 7:23:20 AM PDT by Seizethecarp
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To: Seizethecarp
LV polls are much more expensive than RV polls because they require numerous additional questions of each person polled to filter out the persons who are registered but NOT likely to vote.

Come on!

If they can find out who is a registered voter, they can find out who voted in the last general and primary elections.

That is more reliable information than just asking them, they could lie.

47 posted on 08/25/2012 9:11:37 AM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Celebrate Republicans Freed the Slaves Month.)
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