[Charles Martel]

Not to throw cold water on those encouraged by this, but I think that sentence just said that when the election is over, this model is very good at picking the right outcome.

The statement obviously means that the economic data of the past election years has been fed through the model as though those elections had not yet occurred.

Social attitudes change, but the way that voters react to a crappy economy and high unemployment numbers seems to be very consistent through the years.

[mamelukesabre]

absolutely

When people are fat and happy, they are content with the status quo. When people are suffering, they want incumbents out.

[xzins]

Applied retrospectively, the model predicts the correct winner in every presidential contest going back to 1980, they said.

If you are right -- and not saying you aren't -- that sentence makes absolutely no sense to me. It seems to be saying they apply the model after the fact.

Any way you can return to Europe and cast out the infidels? :>)

[HiTech RedNeck]

The reasons why Mitt is so much persona non grata within these walls, are not largely predominant in larger America. And thanks to hysterical communiques like Obama’s latest from Sandra Fluke that equates Mitt Romney to the questionable sexologist Akin, if they hear that Mitt is too liberal they will never hear that from Barack Obama. Result: slam dunk in popular vote for Mitt. He will mop the floor with Barack.