Max sustained winds 45 mph, 1004 mb
Moving W at 22 mph
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
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Posted on 08/22/2012 1:47:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Max sustained winds 45 mph, 1004 mb
Moving W at 22 mph
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->
FWIW, the latest computer model run (ECMWF) shifts landfall east and puts Isaac as a Cat 4/5 storm at the mouth of the Mississippi next Wednesday, Aug. 29.
Anniversary of Katrina. Direct hit on NOLA.
I’m not making this up.
The storm is still organizing, and the center of circulation has shifted southward. Other models will run later today and may or may not verify what this run predicts.
It’s too far out to know, still a week away. There will probably be many more shifts before landfall.
All right. You are posting about this, so it is time to pay attention. :)
The 5 PM report is out. It looks like ground zero has moved from Ft. Myers further north and west around Port Charlotte. Check out the link at Weatherunderground: http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201209_model.html
I prefer that yellow spaghetti noodle...apologies to folks on the upper east coast, but a hurricane does not fit with my current plans.
marked for later
BTW Friday is the 20-Year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew hitting South Florida.
SHOOT!
That's all I'll say.
Thank you, ma’am. Much appreciated.
The present track and strength estimates have Isaac putting a major hit on the Keys.
Way back in 1986 - 1987, when the world was young(or at least I thought so), I was in the USAF stationed at Key West Naval Station, Truman Annex. I was considered essential personnel (communications), and would have had to stay at my post during a hurricane. You can bet I sweated out those hurricane seasons.
Shhhhhh!
Maybe Ryan should go surfing on Monday.
The expression at the Cyber Liberty household: It ain’t a Hurricane until NautiNurse posts a thread on FR...
:^)
Latest ECMWF Model link:
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/euro/12zeurotropical500mbSLP192.gif
This is only ONE model run. There are a number of models, of which the ECMWF and GFS are deemed the most reliable recently. NWS, WeatherUnderground, TWC, etc. use composites of the various models to plot predictive graphs.
There will be multiple runs this evening.
Still a long way out, but a Tampa landfall is looking less likely.
LOL!
As a Tampa Bay resident, I can guarantee this storm is at the top of the local news stories. Fortunately, we had a rehearsal early in the season with Debby. That storm certainly wasn't a dry run either.
We've got all the supplies ready. Hoping we can avoid evacuation.
70,000 delegates to Florida during hurricane season.
Awesome! Dittos!
That track looks like it would hit Cedar Key/Panama City. We’re in Alabama just North of there.
That's good, but if it's a Cat 4/5 hurricane spinning toward landfall in one of the gulf states, the convention ain't gonna get a whole lot of coverage.
When is the big night at the convention - 8/29 or 8/30?
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