And if Nate Silver says he’s dead, he’s dead. Silver is the only analyst out there respected by both Right and Left. He called 50 of 51 states (incl DC) in 2008. Called pretty much exactly the 2010 elections. If Nate Silver says it, you dang well better listen.
Nate Silver is no guru. He wildly understated the GOP’s margin of victory in 2010.