No I think Romney will do well enough in NoVa. I think he will he do well in Newport News also.
I live in Newport News and I am glad you brought it up because it is a great example to prove my argument. Romney will likely get about 70% of the white vote, but the city as a whole is about 40% black. Obama carried Newport News with 64% of the vote in 2008 among about 80,000 total votes cast. McDonnell lost Newport News by a total of 14 votes (49.96% to 49.92%) in 2009 among about 37,000 votes cast. These are official numbers from the State Board of Elections. Virginia is going to be a tough win.