The only state I’m really worried about is MD, although the marriage anendment just might get defeated thanks to the votes of black Democrats. As when California approved traditional marriage in 2008, Obama’s presence on the ballot and the corresponding increase in black voter turnout could save marriage in MD.
MD has huge black pop, it relatively safe. Washington is probably the most vulnerable state, Seattle will approve for sure and the rest of the state may be too small to outweigh it. Maine is also vulnerable.
Can you imagine MD, the original Catholic state, going pro-homosexual marriage?