I’m sorry, 1-2% does not a “bounce” make. Such light movement should be looked at as ‘statistical noise’ when it comes to virtually any poll. Now, if Romney had jumped 5-10 points, then that’s what I’d call a bounce. Really though, I don’t think I recall the VP selection ever yielding any significant movement in polls. The electorate is so polarized this year, I doubt we’ll even see much movement after the conventions, and the convention speeches normally DO create at least a temporary real bounce in the numbers. After both conventions the numbers are normally about where they were before hand, within a week or so.
Having said that, I reckon I’d rather have 0bama be down 2 than up by that amount.
Today, it is 47-45, a week ago the numbers for Aug 2-8, the numbers were reversed. That’s a 4 point bounce.
They can’t even massage the data to give The Disaster a lead any more even with Registered voters. R and R have a significant lead now is what this poll shows, closer to +7 than +2.
And we don’t even know to what extent Democrats were oversampled. This could be a lead of as much as 10% in the real world.