[iowamark]

On June 11, Rasmussen had Romney leading by 1: 47/46%.

Obama Defeated McCain in Iowa in 2008 by 54-44%.

[woweeitsme]

Wow...didn’t realize McCain lost that big there. The trend seems like a good thing, and I think turnout from both sides will make the difference in Iowa.

[GOPJ]

bttt

[Lou Budvis]

IA is crucial as it appears NV is a lost cause and CO is dicey.

[MNGal]

Romney winning in Iowa would be huge. This poll belies the recent Fox News Poll out recently.

I don’t, for one minute, believe any national poll that has Obama ahead—especially by 9 percentage points!

[LS]

But . . . But . . .but the drive-by media says Zero in leading in national po
LS.

[HamiltonJay]

Polls are finally begining to reflect the reality on the ground.

That reality is simply this:

Obama cannot win.. the RUST BELT is DEAD to him.. He will lose IA, IN, WI, OH, and yes I do believe he will lose PA and MI... The only “Safe” states in the rust belt for Obama are IL and MN.

Obama will also lose NC,CO and FL, and it won’t be close.

Obama cannot get above 42-43% of the popular vote, and that his ABSOLUTE MAX, and to hit that he has to run a flawless campaign, and so far his campaign has been a joke. I really believe by election day Mr Obama will be retired with a vote tally at, and very possibly below that of Herbert Hoover in 1932.

The polls are all going to begin to reflect the realities as summer comes to an end, and that reality is, the voters are done with Obama, they’ve written him off by a huge margin and NOTHING, and I do mean NOTHING he says or does will make any difference. The ONLY direction Obama can go is down, and the lower he goes, the more desperate he’ll become the more outrageous he’ll act, and the public will further write him off causing him to go even further down... He’s in a death spiral and has been for months.

Only the most ardent Kool Aid drinkers will be holding on to the Obama nonsense by October. The real discussion will revolve around will the GOP get 60 senate seats by the, the Presidential race will be over.

For Obama to lose just 3.6% of voters have to move from support in 2008 to opposition in 2012... does anyone with a lick of intellect really believe after the last 4 years of failure after failure, unemployment where is the economy where it is, with fewer people WORKING today than the day he took office, that less than 3.6% of the electorate will not have changed its mind and vote against the guy? The very supposition is preposterous.

[so_real]

Folks need to see the bigger picture that shows Obama doing everything in his power to throw this election to Romney using an unprecedented hard turn to the left in an election year as a tool. Obama wants to escape the WhiteHouse without impeachment papers or handcuffs, while iconifying himself as minority leadership, *and* handing his liberal agenda for safe keeping and nurturing to a man who is a kindred spirit in everything but political party.

And even with this hard leftist/socialist turn, Romney is such a poor candidate that he can't pick up the votes Obama is aiming his way. By poll numbers Romney is 2% better than the worst pres__ent in the history of the United States. And the GOP needs to figure out now, before the convention, that 2% isn't a big enough margin for people to change their tune. It is too much risk for zero gain.

[devolve]

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I have not checked the internals on the FOX Poll or the Rasmussen Poll

I do see Rasmussen polled LIKELY VOTERS :
46%-Romney
44%-Obama
6%-Undecided (most will go for Challenger)
5%-Other Candidate (disregard)

I would imagine FOX polled REGISTERED VOTERS (but I could be wrong)

FOX Poll:
49%-Obama
40%-Romney

In 2004 when the LA Times oversampled democrats by 16% I added half (8%) to GW Bush and deducted half (8%) from Kerry - My quick and dirty adjustment worked out pretty well -

FOX Poll (readjusted by 4.5% +&-) :
49%-Obama = 44.5%
40%-Romney = 44.5%

now the FOX poll is within the 3% margin of error most pollsters admit too

Recall that on voting day the democrats screamed that Kerry was ahead in Exit Polls

That was horseshirt - as people lie - especially the media

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I would imagine most polls are done when actual working people (non-minority likely voters) (taxpaying honkies) are at work or actually out doing something besides watching a 60” HDTV with a case of cold beer

Another thing to consider is that leftie pollsters call urban residents (huge minority and democrat ghettos - for example NYC is 4 to 1 democrat to Republican registration) - but on voting day NYC does not vote 4 to 1 democrat for President (yes it may be 2 to 1 but not 4 to 1)

No special tricks or methods here - But if you do not correct for internals of oversampling of democrats - and other bullshirt - such as leftie pollsters now adding numbers for democrats with cellphones (which cannot be called by pollsters) - you are going to get the numbers and results that Obama wants to see in media “push-polls”

Keep in mind that I have no idea what I am doing - I am just going by my previous experience in 2000 and in 2004

Zogby’s polls? His brother works for CAIR - enough said on Zogby

Do not ever forget that the media bought the Obama/HLS bs of “domestic terrorism” for the recent Sikh shootings

But the insane Fort Hood massacre by a crazy Muslim (who was on Obama’s “Transition Team”) was only “Workplace Violent Act”

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[conservativebabe]

I think it’s actually much higher than that in reality.

[Leep]

Wow,Romney has a 2% lead. Should be 20% but a win is a win..I suppose.
Go less offensive liberal/Rinos!

[emotionalcripple]

No way Northwest Indiana is going to switch to a Republican Congressman! Not a chance! Zero! Visclosky(D), 1st District, will be there forever. The Dems up here pay for a ridiculous Republican that has no chance to win. The demographics are also again since Gary is in the 1st. Think Detroit. No chance at all! Sorry.

[Old Retired Army Guy]

Conservatives keep scratching their heads about the numbers in the Fox News Poll that favors Obama. I did a litle research and found out that Fox News employs a company named “Opinion Dynamics” to actually conduct the poll. Opinion Dynamics is a Massachusetts based company who’s list of clients is about as liberal as it can get. Fox News should divorce itself from Opinion Dynamics and perhaps sponsor a credible pollster like Rasmussen.

[ExCTCitizen]

Rasmussen Iowa President: Romney 46%, Obama 44%

I'll wait for the poll done by the VOTERS!!!