BTW, a lot of polls are based on the 2008 election. They take the % of democrats who voted back then, and the % of Republicans who voted back then, and use that same percentage for their polls. That’s why most of the polls are democrat heavy. In 2008, a lot of Republicans stayed home. All they had was McCain.
Today, people see Oboma is not the returned Messiah, but the pollsters still use the same 2008 % anyway.
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Your post should be required reading for Freepers. If you don’t read it, Jim should pull your membership.
That raises the obvious question: why rely on 2008? They're pollsters after all. Can't they do a poll to estimate the turnout percentages for 2012 and go from there?