I agree. The state polling makes little sense right now. We are seeing Mitt even up in blue-leaning states...Colorado, which is seeing the negative ads, as well as WI, MI and others who are not as much. We see Obama hanging in there in FL (albeit with low numbers for himself as an incumbent), but seeing bad results in other swing states where it seems like he’d have better potential.
My only fear (assuming the GOP runs a decent campaign) is that Romney damn near has to run the table in swing states. He likely has to win the midwest, VA and FL, which all have very different voter bases. If Obama finds a good formula in any of the three, he could eek it out.
If the dead can vote Obama can pull a rabbit out of his golf bag just in time.
WSI reports that Bernake has the votes for another QE3 stimulus in range of Sep -Oct, (just in time to introduce a magic economy by election day) if he isn’t headed off. There are those on Wall Street trying to prevent that from happening.
Romney was heard this week rejecting stimulus, which seems to give some legs to the story.