The issue is Obamacare not re-election. People will come to the polls to vote against Obamacare and the only way to do that is to vote against Obama. In 1994 was an off year election where Clinton was not up for re-election. In 1994 not a single pollster predicted how pissed off the elctorate was that government wanted to take their health care. Not one and yet democrats and indies came to vote against Hillarycare. Nothing has changed. People have been consistently against Obamacare 60/40 and will come to the polls to vote against Obama 60/40. Simple math.
Democrats will not tell a pollster they will vote against their party being they are afraid of being found out. They will however throw Obama under the bus just as they threw the Dems under the bus in 1994. Nothing has changed. People want hands off their health care. That is why Scott Brown won Kennedy’s seat.
Plus in 1995 the economy was not mired in a multi-year recession