The question then is, where are the REAL national polls? And Ras has had Romney up consistently (gee, seems like 1994 where only he was right) for two weeks; there are rumblings that the Dems are now afraid of losing the Senate so badly that a 60 vote majority might be in the making (I doubt it, but possible). The fact that Obama is focusing on OH and MI and FL says that he KNOWS he can't win with his 2008 combination and he is the one who has to run the "inside straight" to win, not Romney. Even Ed Rendell said that PA was up for grabs.
But feel free to wallow in your pessimism.
Of course he cant win the same as 2008. That was always impossible. But he doesn't have too. If he wins with a margin like GWB did in 2000 by focusing on swing states as he is doing that is still a win, and with things this bad it would be a big win for him. Of course that would NOT give him a governable DC which in itself would be a good thing.
At this point in the race I expect both sides : Dems (MSNBC=Obama home ) and Republicans (FNC/Rove=Romney home, +Rush) to be showing only polls that indicate that their man is winning, and we do. So that means nothing.
But when I see Fox and Friends (Romney;s home) start off in the morning talking about how Obam's personal attacks on Romney (etc taxes ) are working and hurting him, then I take note.
Romney is a disaster for a candidate. He is an empty suit who cant argue what he really is for, assuming he believes in anything, because most of the positions he took are someone else's. So he avoids talking about them, and Dems define them for him.
Yes, There still is the RNC convention, but it looks like it will be the parade of the RINOs.