“This election reminds of 1980 when Carter actually led Reagan by a few points the majority of the year, then was blown away in a landslide.”
Reagan blew Carter away because they finally debated a week before the election and Reagan destroyed Carter in it. At the end Reagan told voters to ask themselves if they were better off than four years ago and said if you weren’t, your choice for President should be obvious. It turned the whole thing around.
Carter may have won had he not debated Reagan. His pollster Pat Caldell said on the eve of the debate he had Carter up by 3, then 3 days later Carter was down by 10.
Reagan had the personality and communication skills necessary to turn that election around......Mitt Romney does not. If Romney wins, he will barely sneak by. But I fully expect similar results of 2008 with maybe a bit larger margin of victory of 0bama, 55% to 44% with 0bama winning all the same states as in 2008 and possibly adding Missouri and maybe even Georgia. The people are just to dependent on government assistance to let him go.
Your assumptions indicate no voter remorse, something known to be present.
States (electoral votes) won by Obama with less than 5% margin: Florida (27), Ohio(20), North Carolina(15), Indiana(11)
States (electoral votes) won by McCain with less than 5% margin: Missouri(11), Montana(3)
“But I fully expect similar results of 2008 with maybe a bit larger margin of victory of 0bama, 55% to 44% with 0bama winning all the same states as in 2008 and possibly adding Missouri and maybe even Georgia. The people are just to dependent on government assistance to let him go”
Are you feeling well? Obama has about as much chance of winning Georgia as a pig flying. If there is a landslide it will go to the Republican.
Romney will win Missouri. He’s polling 50-44 against Obama.