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The Coming Obama Landslide?
thedailybeast ^ | Aug. 4 | Michael Tomasky

Posted on 08/04/2012 7:25:18 AM PDT by Alistair Stratford IV

The Coming Obama Landslide?

Liberals don’t want to jinx it. It terrifies the right. And the press would prefer a nail-biter. But the fact is that finding Romney’s path to victory is getting harder every day.

There’s a secret lurking behind everything you’re reading about the upcoming election, a secret that all political insiders know—or should—but few are talking about, most likely because it takes the drama out of the whole business. The secret is the electoral college, and the fact is that the more you look at it, the more you come to conclude that Mitt Romney has to draw an inside straight like you’ve never ever seen in a movie to win this thing. This is especially true now that it seems as if Pennsylvania isn’t really up for grabs. Romney’s paths to 270 are few.

First, let’s discuss Pennsylvania. There has been good reason for Democrats to sweat this state. True, Obama won it handily in 2008, by 10 points. But it’s a state that is older and whiter and more working-class than most of America. Obama benefited from all the unique circumstances of 2008 that helped him across the country, but if ever there were a state where the “well, we gave the black guy a chance and he blew it” meme might catch on, it’s the Keystone State.

But the jobless rate there is 7.5 percent, well below the national average. Democratic voter registration has held its own.

(Excerpt) Read more at thedailybeast.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
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Enjoy!!
1 posted on 08/04/2012 7:25:20 AM PDT by Alistair Stratford IV
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To: Alistair Stratford IV

I’m going to save this idiotic analysis to use as an example in the future of what’s wrong with the stupid red-blue electoral look at American politics.


2 posted on 08/04/2012 7:28:24 AM PDT by ElkGroveDan (My tagline is in the shop.)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV
but if ever there were a state where the “well, we gave the black guy a chance and he blew it” meme might catch on, it’s the Keystone State.

Stopped reading right there. Absolutely zero credibility to this individual.

3 posted on 08/04/2012 7:28:52 AM PDT by Future Snake Eater (CrossFit.com)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV

Now here is a liberal who believes the rigged polls. After the election he’ll be writing about how the election was stolen.

Liberalism is a mental disease


4 posted on 08/04/2012 7:30:00 AM PDT by reefdiver (Shoeless John Roberts, An American Tragedy.)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV

Those racist Pennsylvanians!


5 posted on 08/04/2012 7:31:06 AM PDT by Apparatchik (If you find yourself in a confusing situation, simply laugh knowingly and walk away - Jim Ignatowski)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV

...the jobless rate there is 7.5 percent, well below the national average.

Stopped reading right there...


6 posted on 08/04/2012 7:31:27 AM PDT by Paisan
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To: Alistair Stratford IV
OIC, this must be the “landslide” based on polls where Dems are oversampled in these swing states.

Yeah, sure, we believe Barry is going to win in a landslide; this must be why Harry Reid is trying desperately to get traction on his bogus assertions that Romney is a tax cheat with no evidence and phantom Bain employees.

FUBO!

7 posted on 08/04/2012 7:31:50 AM PDT by Artcore
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To: Alistair Stratford IV

In Pennsy, it’s the cities vs. everywhere else.

Last election, there were Obama offices all over the barrios and black neighborhoods. Stickers & posters all over the place. Haven’t seen quite so many this time around.

In addition, there’s hope the voter id law suppresses fraud.


8 posted on 08/04/2012 7:33:13 AM PDT by P.O.E. (Pray for America)
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To: reefdiver

Yep, garbage in garbage out...


9 posted on 08/04/2012 7:33:40 AM PDT by Alistair Stratford IV (Keep calm and carry on)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV; John Semmens

Is John Semmens using a new pen name?


10 posted on 08/04/2012 7:35:27 AM PDT by liberalh8ter (If Barack has a memory like a steel trap, why can't he remember what the Constitution says?)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV

This brilliant analysis must have been written by Megan McCain


11 posted on 08/04/2012 7:36:05 AM PDT by bigbob
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To: Future Snake Eater

Well, it’s the Daily Beast after all.


12 posted on 08/04/2012 7:36:24 AM PDT by Olog-hai
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Wow, I'm glad The Daily Beast is on top of this election coverage, otherwise I'd have to rely on politically biased sources. Thanks Alistair Stratford IV.
The secret is the electoral college, and the fact is that the more you look at it, the more you come to conclude that Mitt Romney has to draw an inside straight like you've never ever seen in a movie to win this thing. This is especially true now that it seems as if Pennsylvania isn't really up for grabs. Romney's paths to 270 are few.
Thanks DB, I'd never heard of this "electoral college" thing before.


13 posted on 08/04/2012 7:40:01 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV
Photobucket Photobucket
14 posted on 08/04/2012 7:46:44 AM PDT by ontap
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To: Alistair Stratford IV
About the Author
Newsweek/Daily Beast special correspondent Michael Tomasky is also editor of Democracy: A Journal of Ideas, yada, yada.
In his spare time, he enjoys modern art, gourmet cooking, and consuming lots of hallucinogens, obviously.
15 posted on 08/04/2012 7:47:13 AM PDT by meadsjn (Sarah 2012, or sooner)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV

From the same people who decry the electoral college when the vote is close (as in 2000...). Thanks for the laugh.


16 posted on 08/04/2012 7:49:14 AM PDT by bcsco
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To: Alistair Stratford IV

Was this dude getting stoned with Ted before writing this? Wow, that “Mind Rape” weed was really strong.

Even if Obama fixes the election, he will probably lose. With the new census, his “lock” states have fewer electoral votes than they did four years ago. The GOP “lock” states gained electoral votes

Which means Romney just needs to turn a few states over in 2012 to win. If Romney gets either Ohio or Florida...he wins. If Romney were to take New Mexico....Obama is toast...because if Romney can win there...he can take other states Obama won in ‘08

This writer is smoking something wicked, for sure


17 posted on 08/04/2012 7:51:43 AM PDT by SeminoleCounty (Just because someone has an "R" next to their name, does not make them a Conservative)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV

What drug is this poor slob on? I need some of it.


18 posted on 08/04/2012 8:05:48 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV

“...There’s a secret lurking ... The secret is the electoral college...”
-
To whom is the electoral college “a secret”?


19 posted on 08/04/2012 8:07:22 AM PDT by Repeal The 17th (We have met the enemy and he is us.)
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To: Alistair Stratford IV
Democratic voter registration [in Pennsylvania] has held its own.

The dead, multiple voters and imaginary people (Mickey Mouse, etc.).....

20 posted on 08/04/2012 8:07:49 AM PDT by jeffc (Welcome to the United Socialist States of America)
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