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To: Political Junkie Too

So, Obama is on his way to re-election. Pitiful. I just can’t believe Americans would re-elect this guy.


3 posted on 07/21/2012 9:33:24 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: KansasGirl
The expectation is that this is a baseline assessment, and that the polls will begin to move after the Olympics and people start paying attention.

However, when you look at the states that Obama has locked in, Romney has to pretty much "run the table" to win.

Ohio moving towards Obama was a big blow. There is still time for Romney to take it back. Moving Florida from Toss-Up to Romney will help, too. Same with Virginia.

But it is scary when you compare the Electoral College view with the national poll view.

-PJ

5 posted on 07/21/2012 9:38:14 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you can vote for President, then your children can run for President.)
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To: KansasGirl

“So, Obama is on his way to re-election. Pitiful. I just can’t believe Americans would re-elect this guy.”

Romney has a small chance to win, but if he does, he will win with the thinnest of margins, especially in the electoral college. I predict 270-268 for Romney with a possibility that one Congressional district in either Maine or Nebraska will “split” (those are the two states that assign electoral votes by individual districts), giving Obama one additional vote and thus throwing the election into the House.

Then again, the good showing by Sherrod Brown in Ohio along with Obama’s strength there indicates that Ohio is going to be a very difficult win for Romney — and without Ohio, Romney loses.

You are overlooking something in your statement above that is going to become all-too-obvious by November. That is, America is no longer a “single, unified” nation, but instead has become “divided”; and the trend is toward even more division in the future. The divisions are so fundamental and wide that reconciliation no longer seems possible — hence the perception (on BOTH sides) that one side believes that what the other is doing is incomprehensible....


9 posted on 07/21/2012 10:29:36 PM PDT by Road Glide
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