But with persistence, I got:
So, we have the weighting being: Rep: 28%, Dem: 35%, Ind: 32%
7 point lead for Dems right out of the box.
They are trying to hide it, of course, by burying the internals. I expect at some point they will simply do away with showing the internals, outright.
“So, we have the weighting being: Rep: 28%, Dem: 35%, Ind: 32%”
So that’s how you get Romney leading the indeps but Obama winning by 7.
POLLAGANDA.
I recalculated this assuming the same were adjusted so there are equal numbers of Dems and Reps, and further assumed all the undecideds were from the Inds, and all the Dems/Reps voted for Obama/Romney resp., and get
47% Romney
46% Obama
7% Undecided
That makes it 27/32/39 rep/dem/ind
The question is when they apply the weighting using whatever formula.
Oversample of Democrats and Indy’s and not a credible representative sample. The current voter makeup in this country according to records is 35% GOP 31% Democrat and 34% Independent.