Posted on 07/13/2012 9:31:13 AM PDT by xzins
U.S. President Barack Obama leads presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney 50-43 among registered voters nationwide, a poll released Thursday found.
snip
Obama is favored by 88 percent of Democrats while 89 percent of Republicans favor Romney, who leads among independent voters 46 percent to 45 percent for Obama. The poll found 34 percent of Romney backers said they support him strongly, while 64 percent of Obama voters said they support him strongly. snip
Unemployment remains the No. 1 issue for voters overall. Forty-six percent said they favored Romney on the issue, and 42 percent favored Obama.
However, Romney has gone from an 8-point advantage on the question of which candidate is better able to improve the economy, to an 8-point deficit, trailing Obama on the issue 48 percent to 42 percent.
The poll was conducted by landline and cellphone June 28-July 9, 2012 among 2,973 adults, including 2,373 registered voters. The samples were weighted to account for demographic composition, with sampling errors taking into account the effect of weighting.
Pew said the survey has a 95 percent level of confidence for different groups.
(Excerpt) Read more at upi.com ...
The polls aren't all wrong, but this one is. Read my reply at post 35 to see the facts.
Pew polls tend to overstate the liberal candidate’s numbers.
And, they have historically been inaccurate.
It’s pew - communist polled only.
So that's why they weight it to give a seven point gimmee to the Democrats.
By the way, the "accuracy" is a scam. Allow me to explain.
not really...Rasmussen has shown himself to be the best...he was beaten up on Freep four years ago when his polls consistently showed McLame 6/7pts behind obozo but he was on the money...
I recalculated this assuming the same were adjusted so there are equal numbers of Dems and Reps, and further assumed all the undecideds were from the Inds, and all the Dems/Reps voted for Obama/Romney resp., and get
47% Romney
46% Obama
7% Undecided
You told us what? I don't know a single person here that voted for or supported Romney in the primaries.
You third party types, particularly in battle ground states will be the ones that might get us the worst, most divisive, most pro-Marx, most pro-death, most pro-muzzie, most anti-American, most anti-free enterprise, most anti-everything we love and stand for elected for his second term. If he gets reelected he'll surely go full Hugo Kardashian Chavez Jr on us all, taking what freedoms we have left as much he wants, congrats on your choice.
Shame on you, and shame on you for posting and implying this poll doctored to make us feel helpless is reality.
LOL.
That makes it 27/32/39 rep/dem/ind
The question is when they apply the weighting using whatever formula.
Good point on your post. Although they were wrong on the poll, they were accurate on the winner except for Gore who came way too close for comfort. If the Democrats would have picked decent candidates in 2000 and 2004 we might not have had victories.
(reposting to fix typo)
I recalculated this assuming the sample was adjusted so there are equal numbers of Dems and Reps, and further assumed all the undecideds were from the Inds, and all the Dems/Reps voted for Obama/Romney resp., and get
47% Romney
46% Obama
7% Undecided
Polls represent a snapshot in time.
For most of the country the campaign has not yet begun.
The only poll that counts is the one on election day.
When I am polled I tell them I’m an independent voting for Obama.
I hope every conservative will do the same.
This does not make sense...Obama and Romney show as having the same amount of support among members of their own party and Romney holds a 1 point lead with not a part of parties...put that together and Obama has a 7 point overall lead?
See this other question about Supreme Court favorability in the same poll, for example. It says "based on general public".
The purpose for conducting these Democrat weighted polls is to give credence to the planned voter fraud.
Still a five point gimmee for the Democrats.
If conservatives would vote for the conservative, then conservatism would win.
Instead, too many conservatives are voting for one of two radical liberals.
2,373 registered adults, the rest, 620 not registered. Almost 20%.
Sorry to be annoying, but this poll is crap. I don’t mean to be complacent. That’s what lost the last election.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.