RE: Registered voters? Who cares about registered voters? What are the internals? Was there oversampling, again.
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I agree with your sentiment.
Can’t help but ask -— How is this a reliable poll?
From the internals:
“Respondents in the landline sample were selected by randomly asking for the youngest adult male or female who is now at home.”
Not even registered voters... not even eligible for registering to vote, just youngest? Why not oldest? Why not random based on who answered the phone? Because this method gives them the results they’re wanting.
Hundreds more Democrats than Republicans included in the survey. Even though the survey itself found the Republicans more energized about the election, they weighted the sampling data as if Democrats would be more energized. Why purposefully distort the sampling size against the facts? Because it gives them the results they want.
The problem isn’t the results it gives, but that the setup of the survey was so skewed, the poll is basically useless for information purposes.
I’d like to believe that I’m pretty well balanced. Although I reside in West Virginia, I travel through the western part of Maryland, all the time. I have dozens of Internet contacts with whom I exchange email, daily. I’ve probably seen two Obama ‘12 bumper stickers but have not communicated with ANYONE voting for Obama or even talking about Obama in a positive way.