[atc23]

Of course, the confidence was quite shaken by the SB1070 vote! - the SB1070 cave by the SC, while knowing that the president would disrespect their decision, shows how complacent the justices are.

I say based on the 1070 vote, it’s a toss up tomorrow - leaning toward Obamacare being narrowly upheld.

[Servant of the Cross]

Here's analysis on why the SB1070 vote went as it did, and why my confidence in the Chief Justice is not shaken at all.

Actually it's my understanding that CJ Roberts joining the majority on Arizona was more tactical than a reflection of his actual views. If he would have joined Alito, Thomas, and Scalia. The court would have split 4-4 (Kagan recused) and the 9th circuit ruling striking down ALL of the Arizona law would have stood. So in joining with the majority he got Arizona 1/4 of a loaf, which I suppose is better than nothing.