—Early polls put these four measures as tossups or victories for gay-marriage supporters.
Gay-marriage advocates are eager to finally win in the voting booth. —
Two interesting statements there. And here is the key phrase: “finally win”.
Every single time homosexual marriage is decided in the ballot box it is defeated.
Every. Single. Time.
I don't know the situations in the other 3 states, and I hate to say it, but my state of Washington may be the first to approve gay marriage in a popular vote. Here's why...
Back a couple of years ago, we had R-71, also known as the "Everything But Marriage" bill, that allowed greater rights for homosexuals. It was a contentious vote. In the end, the majority of the counties in the state rejected it. Every county east of the Cascade Range and most of the counties in the southwest part of the state voted 'No'.
However, seven counties....just seven...voted 'Yes' and caused it to pass. Of those 7 counties, 4 of them don't have huge populations, but those they have are very liberal. The others are 3 of the 4 counties with the biggest populations in the state...Thurston (home of Olympia, the state capitol), Snohomish, and of course...King County, home of Seattle and a large VERY liberal population.
Being that the demographics haven't changed all that much in the 3 or 4 years since the R-71 vote, I fully expect the vote will fall along the same lines, with the same results.
Unless a miracle occurs in the same class as the parting of the Red Sea, that's what's going to happen.
(Not to mention, of course, the propensity for massive voter fraud in King County. If the high muckety-mucks in King County want it to happen, it will happen.)
And “gay” marriage will be defeated AGAIN! Twice as many signatures as needed and these guys are still writing that “gay” marriage will “finally” be approved at the ballot box? Delusional.
Arizona 2006 failed, Arizona 2008 then passed.
When I look at % the amendments passed by, how conservative the state is, when they passed, I don’t think the trend is too positive over time. Yes, they have a wonderful success rate. But what will it be in 10 years? In 20? In 30? I mean 30 years ago the issue of ‘gay marriage’ wasn’t even on the radar. Folks would have thought you were wacked if you said in 1982 only 61% of the voters of 2012 NC would think traditional state recognition of marriage was the way to go.
Freegards