On November 7th you will see that all the polls are incorrect. Jews will go at least 50% or more for Romney. I will take bets on it now, Any takers?
Hildy, I appreciate your optimism, which is not to say that it couldn't happen.
But regardless of how Jews really vote, the lefty media and its pollsters will be sure to inflate Obama's % beyond that real number. So we'll never know for sure.
Part of the problem in getting an accurate number is practical, particularly determining who is to be selected for interviewing and going ahead and conducting that interviewing. This is by necessity quite cumbersome due to demographics and the relatively small number of Jews scattered in various locales around the country, and even in Israel and other foreign nations. Even if such a challenge is reasonably overcome and a statistically valid cross-section is obtained (orthodox Jews and those of recent Russian origin, who will trend much more to the GOP, are almost always underrepresented, for example), there will be a "Tom Bradley factor" as well (respondents telling the pollster they voted for the black candidate when in fact they didn't). Add to that the pollster's own personal bias in favor of the 'Rats, and you can see how the Obama number will get distorted.