See #19
The Constitution Party attorney general candidate in Ohio pulled 200,000+ votes in a recent election. Bush defeated Kerry in Ohio by only 136,483 votes.
In Virginia, Goode is polling 5%.
This is a state-by-state election and not a national vote. No Republican has ever won without Ohio, and Romney’s electoral path is so narrow right now that he needs both Ohio and Virginia.
So, Goode can cause Romney some serious headaches and maybe keep Romney to the right.
Your analysis breaks down on this last line.
How does Goode's presence in the race force Romney to govern more conservatively if he's elected?