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To: Drew68; Internet Walnut
Given that Virginia is tied at 50/50 (for all practical purposes) Goode's 5% of the total vote will be obtained by snatching it from the Republican 50%, and that is worth 10% of the Republican voters who can be marshaled to show up at the polling booths.

Romney, last March, when he thought he had a lock on Virginia's voters ~looking at the primary results where he was the only major candidate (of 2) that means the probable result is 5% Goode, 45% Rombots and 50% Obamabots.

That, my detractors, is a total BLOWOUT by Obama ~ a LANDSLIDE in Virginia terms.

To win Romney has to pick up 2.5% from Obama's Democrat base to to get up to 47.5% against Obama at 47.5%.

Note, though, getting that 2.4% requires getting a full 5% of the total Democrat vote to switch to him, with none of it being the locked in black vote. It's all gotta' come out of White LIberals ~ and I really don't see that happening.

This is why you must come to the election with clean hands.

21 posted on 05/03/2012 4:37:00 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

The only thing providing any excitement for the Republican side has been the primaries. Once the better candidates and the horse race fades into the background, the flaccid bore that is Romney is just going to sink further in the polls. Who in the world thinks he’s the guy to carry an effective message against Obama throughout the election season? Would you ever sit Romney in front of a microphone for 3 hours to do a radio show explaining why he’s a better choice than Obama? Any other candidate in the primary could have been trusted with that job easily, but certainly not Romney. The over-consulted, over-coached, poll-driven contortions his message is going to be twisted into by the time November rolls around are going to make him a national laughing stock.


28 posted on 05/03/2012 4:49:59 PM PDT by JediJones (From the makers of Romney, Bloomberg/Schwarzenegger 2016. Because the GOP can never go too far left.)
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