Obama has a clear ceiling of support. Bad news for him.
In incumbent elections where the incumbent is unpopular, the electorate is looking to see if the challenger is acceptable. If he is, the incumbent usually loses handily.
That is an over simplistic explanation, but it is bad news for Obama.
Not a whole lot of people are familiar with Mitt Romney’s worst issues, with which Freepers are all too familiar. If he keeps on talking a good talk this year and does not flip flop in the spotlight, most Americans won’t care.
Tied at 46%.... That leaves 8% Undecided. If that stands until Election Day, Obama is toast. 3/4 of the undecideds always go for the challenger over the incumbent. If they’re still “undecided” after 4 years... Obozo is gone. Romney will win 52 - 48 percent.