I can ask you the same thing about Romney. He is not going to win. It’s McCain all over again. Rommey is going to lose votes because of what Romney himself does. He needs to give conservatives reasons to vote for him. ABO does not cut it anymore.
You can say whatever you want, but the polls don't back you up. Romney is basically tied right now with Obama, and moving up. Latest polls show Romney hss gone from tied with Obama among independents, now he's ahead 13%. Romney is a much better candidate than McCain. and will raise more money than Obama. And he won't make stupic mistakes like McCain (eg. suspending his campaign to try to pass TARP).