How about thinking? The point is to keep Romney from getting 1144. Brokered convention and a chance at a better choice.
And, even if we go to a brokered convention, does anyone honestly think theyre just going to kick Romney off the slate and pick some fresh-faced hard-core conservative to face Obama? Thats not going to happen either.
If one doesn't even try then there can be no failure? Listen, failure is certain if one doesn't even try! Surrender before the battle is foolish.
Some people are trying to be realistic here. Is Newt even running a real campaign anymore anyway? He's flat broke to the tune of 4.5 million in the hole and appears to have remained in the race just to keep some media attention on his speeches. He's said several times Romney is the likely nominee and that he is remaining in the race to help shape the platform. When Santorum dropped perhaps Gingrich was hoping for a resurgence, but his SuperPAC backer(s) are long gone and he simply doesn't have the support to even compete. It looks to me like he is just out having some fun, enjoying what media attention he has left till it officially runs out.
I chose to support Newt after Perry dropped out, Palin voted for him, Todd endorsed him, he has a lot of support on FR, but none of it has made any difference. Political realities are what they are and sometimes you have to accept them. I suppose the Rochester school of the Blind MIGHT be able to beat the NY Giants, but come on, we all know what is going to happen and pretending otherwise is beginning to border on silliness.
The numbers are NOT with Mitt
Posted by noprisoners49 (Diary)
Friday, April 13th at 5:30PM EDT
48 Comments
Recommenders: garfieldjl (Diary), dialove
Mitt Romney must win over 60% of all remaining hard delegates to secure the GOP nomination. Surprised?
19 states still need to be heard from, and of those states 869 hard delegates are available at the state and district level (discounting the 37 total delegates available between Indiana and Arkansas, which have proportionality rules only a democrat could love). State and committee GOP delegates number about 69, which Im throwing into my calculations as a given for Romney.
Nevertheless, Romney still needs 663 delegates to reach that magic 1144 number.
Can he do it?
Of the 11,280,792 votes cast so far, Romney has accumulated 4,595,908 or only about 41%. Typically, Romney does not garner more than an average of 44% of the vote. Santorum averaged about 25% of the vote. Even if half of Santorums supporters vote for Mitt, this still does not give him the necessary 60+ % to secure the GOP nomination.
[All data from http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_vote_count.html].