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To: JCBreckenridge
134 posted on Thu Apr 12 2012 12:43:28 GMT-0500 (Central Daylight Time) by JCBreckenridge: “The only choice for conservatives now is 3, not 5.”

Santorum only dropped out a couple of days ago and that is a potential game-changer. Let's give Gingrich time to come up with a plan. He's done the impossible before by becoming Speaker of the House so maybe he can come up with a plan this time that works. It's a slim chance, but a slim chance is better than none.

If you want to go third-party now, rather than back Gingrich while Gingrich still has at least a slim chance of winning he Republican race, that's your call.

We've already got people on Free Republic promoting the Constitution Party. Ron Paul supporters in my area are making sounds of revolt. If Paul goes to the Libertarians (where he probably should have started anyway) and a serious effort is made to promote a Constitution Party candidate, between the two they may actually win a few percentage points nationally and more in some places. In a close race that's enough to make a difference in some states.

I think third-party bids are usually a waste of time, but this year could be different. The problem is that any third-party bid this year is going to make Obama’s re-election nearly certain instead of extremely likely.

136 posted on 04/12/2012 11:53:47 AM PDT by darrellmaurina
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To: darrellmaurina

“Let’s give Gingrich time to come up with a plan.”

Gingrich doesn’t have time. That’s the problem. We’re already more than halfway through the primary season and Romney has a commanding delegate lead.

How does Gingrich plan to overcome Romney in the head to head? He beat Romney in Georgia, and South Carolina, that’s it.

“He’s done the impossible before”

He was leading in all the republican polls in December, and translated that into a win in South Carolina and Georgia. If he’s accomplished the impossible, it’s going from being the frontrunner to polling behind Ron Paul.

“It’s a slim chance, but a slim chance is better than none.”

We have limited resources. What’s the return on investment for Gingrich? On Monday he was insisting that we should all get behind Romney for the good of the party?

By backing a third party, it costs us nothing, and we ensure the field is clear for 2016. Backing Gingrich is just throwing good money after bad.

“that’s your call.”

I see no way he wins another state, let alone takes the nomination.

“If Paul goes to the Libertarians (where he probably should have started anyway) and a serious effort is made to promote a Constitution Party candidate, between the two they may actually win a few percentage points nationally and more in some places.”

You seriously underestimate the revolt against Romney by the party. Romney is not going to beat Obama, and pushing Paul as a libertarian option is far better than pushing Gingrich, who had given up on Monday anyways.

Gingrich is trying to sucker us into covering his bills.

“The problem is that any third-party bid this year is going to make Obama’s re-election nearly certain instead of extremely likely.”

True, but there are worse things. One of pro abortion, pro gay marriage parties has to die. Killing the Republicans off is better then supporting them at this point.

If Gingrich wants to run for the presidency, he should announce that he’s leaving the party.


137 posted on 04/12/2012 12:13:33 PM PDT by JCBreckenridge
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