Polls Show Romney on Track for Win in Wisconsin

New York Times ^ | March 28, 2012, | NATE SILVER

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

If Mitt Romney was harmed by the “Etch A Sketch” comment made by one of his advisers or by his loss in Louisiana over the weekend, it doesn’t seem to be preventing him from being in position to win in Wisconsin, which holds its primary on Tuesday.

Mr. Romney now leads the polls in Wisconsin, a state that had once seemed relatively favorable for Rick Santorum. A survey from Marquette University, released on Tuesday, gave Mr. Romney an eight-point lead in the state. That is a slightly smaller margin than the one in an earlier Rasmussen Reports poll, which had put Mr. Romney 13 points ahead.

At an earlier stage in the nomination campaign, a lead of about 11 points — as Mr. Romney now holds in the FiveThirtyEight forecast for Wisconsin — might have seemed like a gap that Mr. Santorum could easily overcome. The past several weeks of the campaign have been fairly stable, however; the Gallup national tracking poll has put Mr. Romney ahead ever since he won Michigan and Arizona on Feb. 28.

If Mr. Romney has yet to consolidate every group within the Republican coalition, there are signs that some voters around the margins have come around to him. A recent poll in Pennsylvania, Mr. Santorum’s home state, now shows an essentially tied race, after Mr. Santorum had once held a clear lead there.

In Wisconsin, likewise, Mr. Santorum had held a clear lead in two polls conducted in February but has been at a deficit in the most recent ones. Wisconsin can have a rebellious political culture and would not necessarily be the first state to consolidate around an inevitable-seeming nominee, especially considering how poorly Mr. Romney did in neighboring Minnesota.

(Snip)

[Col Freeper]

So, you’re saying that this whole report is a lie then?

No matter who reports it, the facts are the facts. This is a Times article, not an opinion. And if you actually read the article, you might find that is is rather truthful as well as honest about the facts.

Chill out.

Anyone reading my post knows I did not say anything about the report.

I read the article.

My post was just to remind FReepers that Nate is a Journolist member.

LOL, I know this is going to ruin your rant, but I voted for Newt in our Primary, and I would vote for him again because I think he is the best of those running.

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

What makes you think I am ranting? On the contrary FRiend. I am a realistic problem solver. I deal with the hand I am dealt and do the best I can with what I have to work with.

If Romney is the nominee, I won't like it any more than you do. We should have, could have, and would have had much better, if ONLY the World would do everything I desire!

But it is what it is............Now we have to figure out what to do next. I has two possible outcomes. A brokered convention, or Romney. I would still prefer the BC.

[Col Freeper]

I would still prefer the BC.

I would prefer that as well.

[Lexinom]

It is a strange twist of irony indeed that, as many here prognosticated early on in the Obama regime on scenarios where he might suspend the 22nd, it appears elections in November are going to be canceled anyways due to the absence of a choice.

[Lexinom]

Romney is a better enslaver of other people - the true measure of wealth in 21st Century America. It is ironic indeed that it is the work of Adam Smith in The Wealth of Nations, who sought to prevent European-style monopolies, that is cited to justify the present day oligarchy headed by barons like Mitt Romney.

No Romney, ever, under any circumstances. Sooner Obama than Mitt because that will herald in the unpleasant SHTF scenario sooner rather than later, get it over with, and give us a fighting chance to restore the true liberty and opportunity that all Americans - not just the aristocracy - once knew and cherished.