Rush Limbaugh just said the justices are not going to read all 2700 pages and determine what to leave in or take out. It will either all pass or all fail.
That the decision will be 5-4 for or against the individual mandate looks like a sure thing.
But it’s too soon to be optimistic.
Much has been written about Kennedy and the conservative side of the court.
However, from the liberal side, Justice Stephen Breyer appeared to see the mandate and the market from a completely different point of view. Breyer at one point suggested that everyone automatically becomes a participant in the heatlh-care market as soon as theyre born. Because no human being can escape illness, Breyer said, everyone will at some point require medical services; this includes those who cannot pay or those who lack insurance.
Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who embraced the same vision of the health-care market, argued that a persons refusal to buy health insurance is actually a choice to pass on potential health-care costs, and theyre making the rest of us pay for it. Justices Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan appeared on board with their fellow Democratic appointees.
Kennedy in particular seemed to soften near the end of the hearing, acknowledging the problem of the millions who are uninsured and pondering out loud about how the government could address that.
So, no reason to celebrate yet.... it could go the other way.