It doesn’t matter much, because Louisiana has so few delegates, and they are all “unbound” to the convention, but to the degree you trust the selection of delegates, the goal in Louisiana is to keep ROmney below 25%, which is the cutoff for proportional assignment.
So in this case, we want Gingrich to stay in the race, and to take a few percent from Romney.
What isn’t helpful is Gingrich taking votes from Santorum, if it helps Romney get over 25%. If Romney ends up below 25%, conservatives win.
You make a good analysis. I would have thought if a candidate gets over 50%, he takes all delegates. No?