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If Newt drops off, and he wins the big states like TX, PA, IL, and who knows even CA , he’ll get close to Romney’s tally. If Romney doesn’t win on the first ballot, the delegates are free to choose. The delegates in the states will vote with what their states’ conservative voters preferred. Santorum could then pull it off in a 2nd or 3rd round of balloting. I do now agree with brokered conventions but this is now becoming increasingly inevitable. If Santorum loses IL, I think the writing is on the wall. Mitt wins the nomination. Unfortunately, like what occurred in WA, MI, and OH, Gingrich may become the great spoiler again!

it's possible, however, I don't know how probable.

But there are a lot of conservatives who are put off and truned off by what they view as Rick's Sanctimonious behavior and attitude concerning social issues that it will take both Rick and Newt to capture as many as possible delegates from Mitt to force a brokered convention.

The goal now is to get to the Brokered Convention so that Mitt does not get the nomination.

For myself, I'd rather not risk Rick dropping out of the race somewhere down the line after Newt had dropped out.

As long as Newt is still in the race, Rick will stay in the race.

With both in the race, we get a brokered nomination, not so sure if Newt backs out.

With respect to your comment concerning Mitt winning the nomination if Rick loses IL, I believe it is almost statistically impossible for Mitt to win the nomination no matter the outcome of the IL primary.

THere are only 7 out of 26 primaries that are winner-take-all. Those 7 primaries only account for 189 delegates and I don't believe that Mitt will win all of the WTA primaries.

Mitt would have to win 46% of the remaining delegates to win the nomination outright.

As things have been going, there isn't a chance in hell that he can accomplish this.