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What this poll doesn't consider -- and should have included -- is how many Gingrich supporters have already moved to Santorum & Mittens.

Go back again to early Feb. and Santorum's cyclical apex:

A Tribune-Review/WPXI-TV poll conducted Feb. 2-6 shows .... Santorum's support more than doubled from 14 percent six weeks ago to 30 percent, putting him in a statistical dead heat with former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who increased his support to 29 percent from 18 percent. Santorum's gain was former House Speaker Newt Gingrich's loss, as his numbers here plunged from 35 percent to 13 percent.

Santorum +16, Mittens +11, Newt -22. Ignoring the unequal math, that's roughly the 60/40 split other FReepers have conjectured would happen.

57 posted on 03/17/2012 9:43:37 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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What other reasons might Newt have for staying in? What emerges from that scenario, other than the obvious keynote slot at the convention?


63 posted on 03/17/2012 10:17:20 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (=)
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