Can’t compare. In April when Pennsylvania votes we will see. Georgia is going to gave Newt his second win out of 23 states. Newt is running out of states with all his fourth place spots he has racked up. Only 27 states left. Newt is in trouble.
Newt in winning big, populous states with hard delegates, and he’s also beating Santorum in the actual vote count:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_vote_count.html
Santorum’s only wins since Iowa was a trifecta of caucuses in February that no one else even competed in, in which comparatively few people even participated. And those wins will turn out to be worthless, because they were beauty contests, with the delegates to be decided later by state conventions.
And those beauty contest wins got Santorum zero momentum - as he went on the lose to Romney in MI & AZ. If you look at the polls, sweater-boy is also on track to lose in TN and OH.
Newt will win in GA, the most delegate-rich state at stake on Super-Tuesday. He already getting over 50% of the vote, and will do so in the final count. This despite a million spent by Romney, and a lot of effort & visits to GA by Santorum. Newt is also surging in Tennessee.
The state on Tuesday where Santorum has the best shot to win is Oklahoma, getting maybe 30 of that state’s 43 delegates. That’s not nothing, but overall it will be a bad day for Santorum.
I believe we’ve only had 13 states so far, not 23. 8 states tuesday, so we’ll be around 21.
The PPP poll actually shows SAntorum holding steady the past few days — Landmark had him at 16% on March 1st, and his average has been around 20 or so.