Santorum is solid conservative but untested, favored by democrats, helped by cross-voting, strongly favored by strong conservatives, will be around to the end, probably by 32% votes and delegate count.
Romney is fierce combatant, questionable conservative background,favored by moderate wing and independent, promoted by political leaders,so he will be on top, not by much, to the end, maybe 35% votes and delegates.
Newt is intellectual, intelligent, most capable leader, severed flawed with the adultery past, most feared by mainstream media, Obama, and liberals,neutral with independent, less favored by strong conservative,most capable beating Obama in general election, maybe gathering around 20% vote and delegates at the convention time.
Ron Paul is not a factor, probably with final 10% vote and delegates.
At the brokered convention, Newt will be nominated because he is the most well-liked guy by all other candidates, our last hope who can beat Obama, and because Santorum and Romney mutually destroy each other.
I feel good about our chance to remove Obama before we lose our country for good.
I hear a lot about a brokered convention. As I understand it, this would be determined by the delegates elected from various states.
It would happen only if no candidate had a majority at the end of the nominating process. Highly unlikely.
And then the wheeling and dealing would start. We have no idea how that would end, but the chances of someone not already in the race are miniscule.
Not sure I want to take the chance on that. I think Romney would take it.
Newt is far and away the best and brightest of the crowd. A debate between Newt and Obama would be a joke, there would be an obvious difference of something like 100 IQ points, sort of like a prize fight between Joe Louis and Little WeeWee Jones.
Note in the exit poll that the areas where there were significant differences in demographics that most of the drop in Santorum support went to Paul. He may not be collecting a lot but he is definitely an influence in the race.