And what is it that they say about assumptions?
However, Cook's idea of a good run is a GOP nominee who would ensure Obama's re-election.
And if Tea Party values are so politically unmarketable, then how did they trigger such a massive GOP landslide in 2010? Nothing has really changed since as far as Obama's hard-left policies - if anything, they have been shown to be an utter failure - witness all of the green-oriented failures Obama has promoted.
“These numbers would suggest that absent any national tide or trend, Democrats might be expected to lose a dozen or so seats in the House and pick up a seat or two, possibly three, in the Senate. Again, this forecast presumes the lack of any dynamic that would push either party forward or back — essentially an “all politics is local” election.”
In other words, who cares what he thinks at this point? By the time his predictions, or anyone’s for that matter, have any substantive predictive value, it will be more obvious to everyone where things are headed.
“These numbers would suggest that absent any national tide or trend, Democrats might be expected to lose a dozen or so seats in the House and pick up a seat or two, possibly three, in the Senate. Again, this forecast presumes the lack of any dynamic that would push either party forward or back — essentially an “all politics is local” election.”
In other words, who cares what he thinks at this point? By the time his predictions, or anyones for that matter, have any substantive predictive value, it will be more obvious to everyone where things are headed.
And, somehow, the view from Washington is never the same as the view from Cincinnati. Or the view from Charleston. Or the view from Pueblo. In fact, it's totally unlike the view from anywhere else in the USA.
Just one more example of why the nation's politics are increasily less about liberal vs conservative, less about Democrat vs Republican...and more about Washington vs The Rest Of Us.
The last time a government was so unresponsive to -- and unrepresentative of -- its people, the head of state was Czar Nicholas.