Obama is toast. Running this poorly in the polls at this point and time is hilarious. As an incumbant he should be in the mid 60s to low 70s just to be competitive, as most undecides break for the challenger by 2-1 and the opponent hasn’t even been nominated yet. This is a good year to be a Republican with four exceptionally capable individuals, any of which will cruise to victory in November. If the Democrats were smart, and they aren’t, they would announce Obama’s “retirement” and try to run someone else. Otherwise they are screwed.
I agree.
Obama is toast because liberalism is toast, at least for this election cycle. The stars all aligned for liberalism after Obama was elected. The power was all theirs to do what they wanted.
So they did what they wanted.
Though a plurality liked Obama personally in 2008, and still do, a larger plurality now abhors what he has presided over. There's a great deal of anger and fear among conservatives, but worse for Obama, there's disillusionment and doubt within the apolitical middle that generally sways elections one way or the other. So yes, independents will break our way in 2012.
I don't fear the media's ability to change the paradigm. The media tried and failed in 2010, and not much has changed since then.
Though none of them are perfect, we do have good candidates. And they're getting better. I say this as someone who was for Palin, then Herman Cain, now Newt. Even Romney is running a platform decidedly to the right of McCain.
Romney has come further right in recent days, with his new tax plan, which proves that, though Ann Coulter was wrong about everything else, she may have been right that Romney could be controlled by having his feet held to the fire. If he wins, this is how I choose to console myself.
I still hope Newt can win the nomination. Second choice Santorum.