They believe “independents” will rationalize leaving Obama in the WH, ‘cause they’ll vote for a power split and give RINOs control of Congress.
They assume independents are moderates - liberals. They are not. They are conservatives, communists and most who don’t know their foot from the leg of their chair.
The last group can be swayed by whoever comes up with an appealing freedom spirit and agenda and can argue it. Newt. Obama got them last time with the messiah act.
Rinos like to pretend, like the other party, that the independents are all “moderates” (liberals) like them wanting to be ruled and controlled by their politically correct betters in life - the “smart” people.