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To: sgtyork
The results for this senate district are that nearly 50 percent of the signatures are challengeable.

15254 eligible out of 34915 signatures.

You are mis-interpreting the data presented.

On page 4 of the report you link, indeed there were 34915 records processed, but 15509 of these records were blank lines, that no one is counting.

The reality is that there were 15,254 valid signatures, 525 ineligible signatures, and 3358 "signatures for further investigation".

Now even if we are successful in all of the challenges to the "signatures for further investigation" that would be only 20% invalid signatures.

If we assume the sample is large enough to be statistically significant, being able to throw out ~50% of the 1,000,000 raw signatures presented is extraordinarily unlikely.

No matter how much you might wish it, we are not going to get out of having a recall election. Lets spend our energy on something to better our chances in the election, instead of chasing impossible dreams of invalidating so many signatures.

* * * * *

To me, the results are so unpromising that I don't think we can even make a campaign issue of of them. The reality is that only 525 of 19k signatures were invalid on their face, and I suspect that most of the 3358 will ultimately prove to be valid.

No these are just petition signatures, not fraudulent votes, and I suspect the average voter will see this as no big deal.

Face the reality that there are enough union members, families of union members, and flaming liberals in WI to force a recall. There are more than enough good people to elect Walker again, if we get mobilized and start campaigning now, instead of pretending we will pull a legal rabbit out of a hat, and sitting on our collective duffs until we prove we can't pull the rabbit out.

46 posted on 02/19/2012 6:48:38 PM PST by CurlyDave
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To: CurlyDave

But they are in effect boasting about the 34 thousand (or for Walker 1 million). This is their ‘great success’. Even you say there are twice as many as required.

I never expected to stop Walker’s recall. I still hope to a large number of duplicates signatures for Walker’s petition because they hate him so much. Deflating their balloon is worth it.


48 posted on 02/19/2012 7:21:29 PM PST by sgtyork (The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage. Thucydides)
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To: CurlyDave

You’re right. Our first line of defense isn’t going to hold. We need to win the election again and then get rid of these recall provisions. They’re a recipe for tyranny.


49 posted on 02/19/2012 7:35:17 PM PST by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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