[Pappy Smear]

I find this poll believable. Despite 0bama winning in 08, I think that was partially due to Iowans being overly nice, and being somewhat sheltered from the "real world". I think many favoring 0bama, were simply out of white guilt.

I think this time around, enough will flip after they have seen the incompetency out of 0bama. One thing that helps 0 is that the economy isn't really that bad here, relative to other areas of the country. The farm business is booming, and we have one of the lowest unemployment rates in the country.

I have a married couple friends, nice income, Catholic. They both voted for 0 in 08. I asked them why. "Because Bush sucks." I am getting the feeling they won't be repeating the mistake.

[RipSawyer]

I tell people like that that Bush wasn’t running and besides that no matter how bad you think Bush was Obama is vastly worse and anyone with one eye open and half a brain should have seen that, if you thought then or now that Obama is an improvement over Bush you are an idiot.