[Mariner]

"Among states that last voted Republican in 1988 or earlier, he classifies two, Michigan and Pennsylvania, as socially conservative, and two more, Minnesota and Wisconsin, as “mildly” so.

Yeah, but. The last time he ran in a general election in PA, he lost by over 18 points. As a sitting Senator.

If the demographics of the other three are similar I would guess he has an uphill battle in all four.

[BobL]

“Yeah, but. The last time he ran in a general election in PA, he lost by over 18 points. As a sitting Senator.”

10 points of that was because it was a Republican blowout that year, with Pelosi taking the House. The other 8 points, at least, was because of Specter. If Rick starts winning major primaries, then 2006 is long in the past.