Two points. First...Newt's unfavoables are still huge. In the neighborhood of 60% and Santorum's are half that...and since Santo is not nearly as well known he has some upside potential there where Newt has none. And second...the women's vote. Newt's chances there don't just SEEM flat out insurmountable. They are! He'll never get withing 25 points of obama and with those kinds of numbers he simply CAN NOT win!
RE: He’ll never get withing 25 points of obama and with those kinds of numbers he simply CAN NOT win!
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http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/290180/rasmussen-santorum-45-obama-44-robert-costa
Rasmussen: Santorum 45, Obama 44
By Robert Costa
February 4, 2012 2:13 P.M.
As NRO reported on Friday, Santorum’s advisers are committed to staying in the race. The latest Rasmussen tracking poll offers some encouragement:
In a potential Election 2012 matchup, former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum is at 45% while President Obama earns 44%. This is the first time in any poll that Santorum has led the president. Several other GOP challengers have led the president a single time in the polls including Rick Perry, Herman Cain, and Newt Gingrich. Each man briefly held the lead while they were surging in the polls, only to fall quickly. It remains to be seen what will happen to Santorum’s support.
For the exact opposite reasons from Newt, Santorum would lose the ‘women’s vote.’ Once Team Obama started to feature the thing Santorum is primarily known for, i.e., being ardently pro-life, he is finished with the ‘women’s vote.’
Women will trample each other to get to the polls to vote against anyone who would take away their sacred right to ‘choose.’