Yeah, your prediction was spectacularly wrong. Not even in the ballpark. Virtually every poll showed Mitt winning by a large margin. No matter how politically savvy you may be, ignoring overwhelming polling evidence like that is a true rookie mistake. You basically missed by 17 points (you predicted Newt up by 3 and instead the chameleon won by 14) which is sorta of like analyzing a race and missing a coming landslide. Still, your analysis is interesting and it seems like you had a good handle on SC.
What's with the 7 reasons thing. You listed 7 reasons Newt would win, 7 for why he wouldn't. Do your predictions usually have 7 bullet points?
Its called taking responsibility for a spectacularly wrong prediction after I bragged about making a spectacularly right one.
Do you think you will ever see Dick Morris do the same thing?