Posted on 02/01/2012 6:47:09 AM PST by montag813
I just heard Newt’s speech after Florida and I have come to realize that Newt is going to win the GOP nomination and be the next president.
I understand that most people think that Romney is most likely, but I do not agree. First, Romney has never shown the ability to get the majority of the votes in any primary. Second, Romney’s win in Florida took place with no actual consideration of Romney’s record or ideas — Romney’s entire campaign was based on the idea that Romney is the only person who can beat Obama. His whole campaign in FL was on attacking Newt. Third, the voting numbers showed Gingrich did very well in the Fl. panhandle, which votes like southern states. This suggests that Gingrich will likely sweep the South.
Gingrich’s problems in FL were easy to fix. Gingrich got off message. Gingrich froze in the face of shock and awe from Romney’s attacks. Finally, Gingrich faced the one state that only Romney had a strong campaign organization in. The fact of the matter is that Romney had to compete in Iowa with almost everyone and lost. Romney had to compete in NH with Huntsman and won. Romney had to compete in SC with Santorum, Perry, and Gingrich and lost. FL was always too big for anyone but Romney to have a strong organization and ad campaign in. Gingrich had the momentum, but Romney had a uniquely large organization advantage for FL.
In future states Romney will continue to have an organization advantage, especially through Super Tuesday, but as the primary goes on, Romney’s advantage will drop as (1) later states even out since Romney is running a campaign like Clinton did in 2008 and his organization is strongest early, (2) as the race goes on voters will develop more solid opinions and organization will mater less, and (3) Gingrich will emerge as the alternative to Romney and will be better organized as people realize he is the only hope for conservatives in this race.
In terms of campaign focus, Gingrich is now developing a new contract with America and I expect he will use that to stay on message and contrast himself with Romney. Gingrich held a vote on all items he promised to and did what he could to pass them for the original contract. That was a promise kept for him. He will have credibility for his new contract and this will contrast him with Romney who cannot be trusted and is not conservative.
In terms of Romney’s shock and awe attacks, it is hard to see Romney get much worse. Romney’s negatives have already shot up, and it is almost impossible to think of what worse things Romney can attack Gingrich for. Romney already used several lines of attack have had blow back, and if he picked those as ‘go,’ it is hard to think he has anything left to fire with. The Romney smear campaign will need to let-up at some time or Romney will completely implode. How long can a campaign be 99.9% negative?
What it comes down to is that Gingrich is a real candidate, and Romney is a pretender. Gingrich has real conservative ideas to fix the problems we are in. Romney has talking points.
I agree with you. Newt brings us to our roots. He brings us full circle, esp if you’re a Boomer.
I can’t think of anyone else who brings our country back to our origins.
I’m afraid if he’s not allowed to fullfill his destiny this country will be vastly different in a few short years.
If Santorum drops out, we at least have a true debate between two men with adverse ideas.
Santorum is nothing more than a pimple on the @ss of this campaign.
You are very right. A lot of people simply don’t know what’s going on in the world, a manned moon colony is very much in the works and a possibility... but you wouldn’t know that unless you were awake, alert and oriented...
http://www.myfoxdc.com/dpps/news/russia-us-moon-base-nasa-dpgonc-20110119-to-_17194074
Russia is talking with the US and Europe on plans to create a manned research base on the moon, the head of the Russian space agency Roscosmos said Thursday.
Roscosmos is discussing the possibilities for a permanent moon base with officials from NASA and the European Space Agency, the agency’s chief, Vladimir Popovkin said.
“We don’t want man to just step on the moon,” Popovkin told Vesti FM radio station, according to the Ria Novosti news agency. “Today, we know enough about it, we know that there is water in its polar areas ... we are now discussing how to begin [the moon’s] exploration with NASA and the European Space Agency.”
He said the plan was either to set up a base on the moon or launch a station to orbit around it.
Russia also is planning to send two unmanned mission to the moon by 2020, Popovkin said.
China moonbase 2002:
http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/5/22/181737.shtml
bttt!!
The first he heard about that call was when a reporter asked him about it. He had nothing to do with... it was some outlier group in the final days of the primary... Do you really think Newt would do an ad like that? You say you’ve been a supporter - a Newt supporter would know he wouldn’t sign off on an ad like that... thank you, though, for your concern. It was touching.
Agreed. Only you don’t even have to be a visionary, there are some very concrete pieces being put into place for a moon landing by 20/20. You’d have to read the news to know about it though..
http://www.myfoxdc.com/dpps/news/russia-us-moon-base-nasa-dpgonc-20110119-to-_17194074
“Russia is talking with the US and Europe on plans to create a manned research base on the moon, the head of the Russian space agency Roscosmos said Thursday.
Roscosmos is discussing the possibilities for a permanent moon base with officials from NASA and the European Space Agency, the agency’s chief, Vladimir Popovkin said.
“We don’t want man to just step on the moon,” Popovkin told Vesti FM radio station, according to the Ria Novosti news agency. “Today, we know enough about it, we know that there is water in its polar areas ... we are now discussing how to begin [the moon’s] exploration with NASA and the European Space Agency.”
He said the plan was either to set up a base on the moon or launch a station to orbit around it.
Russia also is planning to send two unmanned mission to the moon by 2020, Popovkin said.”
China moonbase 2002:
http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/5/22/181737.shtml
... he’ll “do very well in Missouri” because Newt isn’t running there, did you forget to mention that?
[ Newt is done. He is showing himself to be a major drama queen. ]
The drama queens all voted for WILLARD...
Its republican women that voted for Romney..
Most all the men voted for Newt or Rick or even Ron...
The weak link is some of the republican women..
I am a Newt supporter... I am not hysterical... but I recognize the fact Willard Your Worst Nightmare is no different and no better than barack...
You are very right. A manned moon base is a very real possibility in 2020, and the first concrete steps are being taken... Newt very clearly said he wants to beat Russia there... what is wrong with people?
http://www.myfoxdc.com/dpps/news/russia-us-moon-base-nasa-dpgonc-20110119-to-_17194074
“Russia is talking with the US and Europe on plans to create a manned research base on the moon, the head of the Russian space agency Roscosmos said Thursday.
Roscosmos is discussing the possibilities for a permanent moon base with officials from NASA and the European Space Agency, the agency’s chief, Vladimir Popovkin said.
“We don’t want man to just step on the moon,” Popovkin told Vesti FM radio station, according to the Ria Novosti news agency. “Today, we know enough about it, we know that there is water in its polar areas ... we are now discussing how to begin [the moon’s] exploration with NASA and the European Space Agency.”
He said the plan was either to set up a base on the moon or launch a station to orbit around it.
Russia also is planning to send two unmanned mission to the moon by 2020, Popovkin said.”
China moonbase 2002:
http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/5/22/181737.shtml
You lie. She wasn’t on this morning.
“Santo” is as done as Newt is.
And Russia has plans, also.
http://www.myfoxdc.com/dpps/news/russia-us-moon-base-nasa-dpgonc-20110119-to-_17194074
“Russia is talking with the US and Europe on plans to create a manned research base on the moon, the head of the Russian space agency Roscosmos said Thursday.
Roscosmos is discussing the possibilities for a permanent moon base with officials from NASA and the European Space Agency, the agency’s chief, Vladimir Popovkin said.
“We don’t want man to just step on the moon,” Popovkin told Vesti FM radio station, according to the Ria Novosti news agency. “Today, we know enough about it, we know that there is water in its polar areas ... we are now discussing how to begin [the moon’s] exploration with NASA and the European Space Agency.”
He said the plan was either to set up a base on the moon or launch a station to orbit around it.
Russia also is planning to send two unmanned mission to the moon by 2020, Popovkin said.”
China moonbase 2002:
http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/5/22/181737.shtml
You’re right. Not only are moon bases NOT lunacy, they are already in the works. At least Newt supporters know what is going on in the world... Newt wants to beat the Russians there for obvious scientific and military reasons...
http://www.myfoxdc.com/dpps/news/russia-us-moon-base-nasa-dpgonc-20110119-to-_17194074
“Russia is talking with the US and Europe on plans to create a manned research base on the moon, the head of the Russian space agency Roscosmos said Thursday.
Roscosmos is discussing the possibilities for a permanent moon base with officials from NASA and the European Space Agency, the agency’s chief, Vladimir Popovkin said.
“We don’t want man to just step on the moon,” Popovkin told Vesti FM radio station, according to the Ria Novosti news agency. “Today, we know enough about it, we know that there is water in its polar areas ... we are now discussing how to begin [the moon’s] exploration with NASA and the European Space Agency.”
He said the plan was either to set up a base on the moon or launch a station to orbit around it.
Russia also is planning to send two unmanned mission to the moon by 2020, Popovkin said.”
China moonbase 2002:
http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/5/22/181737.shtml
He’s our junk yard dog and our son of a bitch... and this is my own original one: “that’s our newtie, he’s a cutie”. You may use it freely whenever you feel so inspired :)
Right? Did you even listen to the speech or did you just get cherry-picked soundbytes from the press?
Yes, I listened to it. Or rather, I read it. It was either (literally) lunacy, or was disingenuous. You cannot both promise there will be a moon colony by 2020, and say that it is going to be left up to private industry. Because obviously, private industry may not conclude it is worth the investment. And if we're just talking about letting private industry go to the moon on its own dime, why is that even relevant to a Presidential campaign?
That is very disrespectful, and Rick deserves better, regardless of how one feels about Gingrich. Santorum absolutely shredded Mittens over RomneyCare in the last debate, while Newt sat there like a potted plant. Santorum also leads Mittens by 11 in Missouri (next Tues) - the first head-to-head Romney vs. Anti-Romney contest thus far. If Rick wins that he will move ahead of Newt. I respect Gingrich, but if he runs the rest of his campaign as pathetically as he did in Florida (11 million "grandmas", moon bases, kosher meals), then he has utterly no future as the nominee.
Romney is a liberal, no doubt about it.
I feel for my Grand Children.
Romney will do almost nothing to Obamacare if elected. After all he helped write it.
The more America sees of Newton Leroy Gingrich the fewer votes he will receive. By November he would be lucky to get 35% of the votes in the General Election.
I am scratching my head trying to figure out how your reply relates to my post. You must be answering voices in your head since I never mentioned Medicare, Romney or Obamacare.
Why are you supporting this individual?
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